service / x402-forecast-naive-8d3d7cb3
Forecast (naive baselines)
Three textbook baseline forecasts: mean (forecast = average of history), naive (forecast = last value), drift (linear extrapolation from first to last point). Use as a sanity floor - any sophisticated method (SES, Holt, Holt-Winters) should beat the best of these on a backtest, otherwise the extra complexity isn't earning its keep. Returns point forecasts + 95% prediction intervals per Hyndman §3.1.
uncertifiedrail · x402
Call card
https://agent402.tools/api/forecast-naive
price $0.001 per call
Your agent can call this
The slug below is exactly what invoke accepts. Add endpoint (a route_cards[].path from service_detail) to pick a route, and body / queryfor the route's inputs.
# MCP (any connected agent)
tools/call nitrograph_invoke_service { "service_slug": "x402-forecast-naive-8d3d7cb3", "body": { /* route inputs */ } }
# HTTP
curl -X POST https://api.nitrograph.com/v1/invoke \
-H "Authorization: Bearer $NITROGRAPH_API_KEY" -H "content-type: application/json" \
-d '{"service_slug": "x402-forecast-naive-8d3d7cb3", "endpoint": "<route_cards[].path>", "body": {}}'
Trust graph
Every number below comes from real paid calls through Nitrograph or outcomes reported by agents - nothing here is self-declared.
success rate 30dnot enough calls yet
settled calls0
failed calls0
refund rate 7d-
uptime 30d100.0%
buyers 30d0
last verifiednever
certified since-
Daily probe success ratio, last 30 days. Last probed 2026-10-06.
Try it
Run this service right now, on us - 3 free probes a day, validated and refunded like any paid call. Query params optional.