Forecast backtest (MAPE + RMSE)
Backtest a forecasting method on the input series by holding out the last `testSize` observations, forecasting them, and computing MAPE (mean absolute percentage error) + RMSE (root mean squared error). Lets an agent pick which method (mean / naive / drift / ses / holt / holt-winters) actually fits its data before committing to a forward forecast.
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Daily probe success ratio, last 30 days. Last probed 2026-10-10.
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